“Chi vincerà il campionato Mario?”
“Non ci mettiamo a fare pronostici anzi diciamoci la verità, troviamo una risposta perché ci viene fatta la domanda altrimenti tutti noi sappiamo che non converrebbe farli”.
Alla domanda di Massimo Callegari così ha risposto Mario Sconcerti durante la trasmissione Pressing.
Calcio e Finanza sono due mie passioni, e così come per il “pallone” anche le previsioni sui mercati restano un palliativo all’incertezza, perché DICIAMOCI la verità ormai tutti sanno che ragionevolmente saranno stravolte o disattese.
Investire non è un gioco, ma una attività seria.
Cosa farà il mercato domani?
Magari al bar giocando con degli amici ci si può divertire azzeccando una risposta.
Ma alla stessa domanda, in un rapporto professionale, va dato il giusto peso ad ogni singola parola:
“Non lo so, ma molto probabilmente saliranno nei prossimi 10 anni.”

Questa è la risposta razionale che ne deriva dal grafico. Dal 1926 al 2021 lo S&P500 con maggiori probabilità ha ottenuto rendimenti annuali maggiori dello 0%. Addirittura la concentrazione maggiore sta tra il 10-30%.
Verranno inseriti altri paesi tra quelli ostili alla Russia? chiedete a Putin.
Ed Il 2022? Sarà l’ennesimo rettangolo in una qualsiasi colonna del grafico.
Per chi ancora invece vuole alimentare l’atavica umana ricerca di risposte ad eventi fuori dal nostro controllo (rune, viscere …) che nel mondo moderno è legata ai mercati finanziari con mezzi matematici, statistici o da “esperti paraventi” volentieri condivido una sconvolgente realtà che il nostro cugino primate alla lunga ottiene risultati migliori degli esperti nelle previsioni.

“Una scimmia con gli occhi bendati che lancia freccette su una lista di titoli azionari è capace di creare un portfolio performante tanto quanto uno creato da un esperto”.
La scimmia di Malkiel.
https://www.ilsole24ore.com/art/perche-scimmia-una-moneta-investe-meglio-un-guru-AE7VR4MD
Colgo l’occasione di un augurio per la Festa della Donna.
Thank you for your sharing. I am worried that I lack creative ideas. It is your article that makes me full of hope. Thank you. But, I have a question, can you help me?
great issues altogether, you just won a logo new reader. What might you suggest in regards to your submit that you simply made a few days ago? Any sure?
I am really thankful to the owner of this web site who has shared this great piece of writing at at this place.
Great beat ! I wish to apprentice at the same time as you amend your site, how can i subscribe for a blog web site? The account aided me a applicable deal. I were tiny bit familiar of this your broadcast provided bright transparent concept
I am extremely impressed with your writing skills and also with the layout on your blog. Is this a paid theme or did you customize it yourself? Either way keep up the nice quality writing, it’s rare to see a nice blog like this one nowadays.
Terrific article! This is the type of information that are meant to be shared around the web. Disgrace on the seek engines for not positioning this submit upper! Come on over and visit my site . Thank you =)
I am regular reader, how are you everybody? This article posted at this website is truly pleasant.
Hi to all, the contents present at this site are actually awesome for people experience, well, keep up the nice work fellows.
My spouse and I absolutely love your blog and find a lot of your post’s to be just what I’m looking for. Do you offer guest writers to write content for you personally? I wouldn’t mind publishing a post or elaborating on many of the subjects you write about here. Again, awesome site!
Nice answers in return of this question with solid arguments and describing everything concerning that.
It’s going to be finish of mine day, except before finish I am reading this wonderful article to increase my experience.
Hi I am so excited I found your site, I really found you by mistake, while I was researching on Bing for something else, Anyhow I am here now and would just like to say many thanks for a incredible post and a all round thrilling blog (I also love the theme/design), I don’t have time to go through it all at the minute but I have book-marked it and also included your RSS feeds, so when I have time I will be back to read much more, Please do keep up the superb job.
I’m not sure why but this web site is loading incredibly slow for me. Is anyone else having this issue or is it a problem on my end? I’ll check back later and see if the problem still exists.
After checking out a few of the blog articles on your web page, I really like your way of blogging. I added it to my bookmark site list and will be checking back soon. Take a look at my web site as well and let me know how you feel.
Heya! I realize this is somewhat off-topic but I had to ask. Does operating a well-established blog like yours take a massive amount work? I’m completely new to operating a blog but I do write in my diary everyday. I’d like to start a blog so I will be able to share my own experience and views online. Please let me know if you have any suggestions or tips for new aspiring bloggers. Appreciate it!