L’ultimo attacco di Donald Trump alla Banca centrale americana (FED) questa volta non è arrivato dall’amato social Twitter, ma attraverso un’intervista televisiva rilasciata al network CNBC.:
«La FED ci ha messo in una posizione di svantaggio nei confronti della Cina che ha potuto svalutare la sua moneta, noi non lo possiamo fare».
Questo il riassunto delle accuse del presidente americano.
La guerra di Trump contro la FED viene da lontano e nelle parole di Trump sembra quasi che il vero nemico dell’America verso la ripresa sia proprio la Banca centrale americana, che pesa più della Cina.
Per Trump l’errore principale della Fed è stato l’aumento graduale dei tassi – dal dicembre 2015 ci sono stati nove rialzi, di cui quattro solo nel 2018 – predisponendo i piani di rientro dal Quantitative easing (QE) per normalizzare la politica monetaria e tenersi a disposizione armi per combattere eventuali crisi future.
Insomma secondo il presidente americano si è pensato troppo al futuro senza lasciare i rubinetti monetari aperti nel presente e le ultime vicende sembrano dargli ragione.
Lo stesso Jerome Powell alla guida della FED sembra voler cambiare direzione perché la crescita americana non decolla proprio a causa della guerra commerciale con la Cina.
Forse è arrivato il momento di tagliare i tassi,cambiando di nuovo rotta e vedendo tutte le parti a stelle e strisce concordi sulla linea.
Perché adesso la FED vuole tagliare?
Analizzando gli ultimi 12 mesi potremmo trovare 2 fattori principali che hanno convinto Powell ai tagli:
- Oltre la guerra commerciale contro la Cina che ha portato ad aumentare i dazi verso il Paese e a colpire Huawei, dal 10 giugno sono attivi anche i dazi su tutti i prodotti made in Messico che colpiscono consumatori e grandi gruppi americani che hanno delocalizzato la produzione nel Paese.
- Le previsioni di crescita dell’economia americana, nella seconda metà del 2019 ,sono di un rallentamento fino al 2%. Si riaffaccia lo spettro del rischio di una recessione alla vigilia del lungo anno che porterà alle elezioni del presidente americano.
E questo a Trump non piace.
“America first” è il motto che ha guidato l’America negli ultimi anni e di sicuro sarà fatto di tutto per mantenerlo, anche un passo indietro.
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